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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)

Market icon
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)

Luis Antonio Revilla 70.9%

René Yahuasi Calamani 35.8%

Fidel Chura 16.9%

Richard Andrés Gómez 10.3%

Polymarket

$13,238 Vol.

Luis Antonio Revilla 70.9%

René Yahuasi Calamani 35.8%

Fidel Chura 16.9%

Richard Andrés Gómez 10.3%

Polymarket

$13,238 Vol.

Luis Antonio Revilla

$8,380 Vol.

51%

René Yahuasi Calamani

$0 Vol.

36%

Fidel Chura

$0 Vol.

17%

Richard Andrés Gómez

$1,218 Vol.

10%

Felix Patzi

$0 Vol.

8%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas

$1,245 Vol.

4%

Rafael Quispe Flores

$0 Vol.

3%

Germán Riveros

$1,123 Vol.

3%

Demetrio Villca

$0 Vol.

1%

Orlando Callisaya

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gualberto Cusi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Santos Quispe Quispe

$1,271 Vol.

7%

Clemente Gutiérrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer

$0 Vol.

39%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, 2026, no candidate secured a majority in a highly fragmented field, prompting a runoff on April 19 between Luis Antonio Revilla of the Patria Sol alliance (20.02% official) and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica (9.18%). The Tribunal Electoral Departamental concluded the official count on March 26, confirming Revilla's lead from preliminary Sirepre results where he topped 21% at 80% tabulated. Traders price Revilla as the consensus favorite due to his experience as former La Paz mayor and first-round edge, while Yahuasi's youth appeals to change-seeking voters; Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer of Somos La Paz trails but garners speculative support amid runoff uncertainties. Pre-election Unitel/Ipsos polls highlighted the splintered race, reflecting discontent with outgoing governor Santos Quispe's 69% disapproval.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, 2026, no candidate secured a majority in a highly fragmented field, prompting a runoff on April 19 between Luis Antonio Revilla of the Patria Sol alliance (20.02% official) and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica (9.18%). The Tribunal Electoral Departamental concluded the official count on March 26, confirming Revilla's lead from preliminary Sirepre results where he topped 21% at 80% tabulated. Traders price Revilla as the consensus favorite due to his experience as former La Paz mayor and first-round edge, while Yahuasi's youth appeals to change-seeking voters; Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer of Somos La Paz trails but garners speculative support amid runoff uncertainties. Pre-election Unitel/Ipsos polls highlighted the splintered race, reflecting discontent with outgoing governor Santos Quispe's 69% disapproval.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, 2026, no candidate secured a majority in a highly fragmented field, prompting a runoff on April 19 between Luis Antonio Revilla of the Patria Sol alliance (20.02% official) and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica (9.18%). The Tribunal Electoral Departamental concluded the official count on March 26, confirming Revilla's lead from preliminary Sirepre results where he topped 21% at 80% tabulated. Traders price Revilla as the consensus favorite due to his experience as former La Paz mayor and first-round edge, while Yahuasi's youth appeals to change-seeking voters; Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer of Somos La Paz trails but garners speculative support amid runoff uncertainties. Pre-election Unitel/Ipsos polls highlighted the splintered race, reflecting discontent with outgoing governor Santos Quispe's 69% disapproval.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election first round on March 22, 2026, no candidate secured a majority in a highly fragmented field, prompting a runoff on April 19 between Luis Antonio Revilla of the Patria Sol alliance (20.02% official) and René Yahuasi Calamani of Nueva Generación Patriótica (9.18%). The Tribunal Electoral Departamental concluded the official count on March 26, confirming Revilla's lead from preliminary Sirepre results where he topped 21% at 80% tabulated. Traders price Revilla as the consensus favorite due to his experience as former La Paz mayor and first-round edge, while Yahuasi's youth appeals to change-seeking voters; Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer of Somos La Paz trails but garners speculative support amid runoff uncertainties. Pre-election Unitel/Ipsos polls highlighted the splintered race, reflecting discontent with outgoing governor Santos Quispe's 69% disapproval.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 51%, followed by "Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.