Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa

Rob Sand 97.2%

Julie Stauch 1.3%

Paul Dahl 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rob Sand 97.2%

Julie Stauch 1.3%

Paul Dahl 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rob Sand

$0 Vol.

97%

Julie Stauch

$0 Vol.

1%

Paul Dahl

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Following the March 14, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Iowa Auditor Rob Sand stands unopposed in the Democratic gubernatorial primary after challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl failed to qualify by submitting insufficient petition signatures, as confirmed by the Secretary of State's final list on March 17. This procedural outcome has driven trader consensus to price Sand at 97% implied probability of winning the June 2 primary nomination, reflecting the near-certainty of an uncontested ballot absent late write-in efforts. Sand's profile as a popular incumbent auditor, recent petition filing, and party clearing of the field underscore his commanding position, though minimal odds on rivals account for slim chances of successful grassroots challenges or procedural reversals before absentee voting ramps up.

Following the March 14, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Iowa Auditor Rob Sand stands unopposed in the Democratic gubernatorial primary after challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl failed to qualify by submitting insufficient petition signatures, as confirmed by the Secretary of State's final list on March 17. This procedural outcome has driven trader consensus to price Sand at 97% implied probability of winning the June 2 primary nomination, reflecting the near-certainty of an uncontested ballot absent late write-in efforts. Sand's profile as a popular incumbent auditor, recent petition filing, and party clearing of the field underscore his commanding position, though minimal odds on rivals account for slim chances of successful grassroots challenges or procedural reversals before absentee voting ramps up.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Following the March 14, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Iowa Auditor Rob Sand stands unopposed in the Democratic gubernatorial primary after challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl failed to qualify by submitting insufficient petition signatures, as confirmed by the Secretary of State's final list on March 17. This procedural outcome has driven trader consensus to price Sand at 97% implied probability of winning the June 2 primary nomination, reflecting the near-certainty of an uncontested ballot absent late write-in efforts. Sand's profile as a popular incumbent auditor, recent petition filing, and party clearing of the field underscore his commanding position, though minimal odds on rivals account for slim chances of successful grassroots challenges or procedural reversals before absentee voting ramps up.

Following the March 14, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Iowa Auditor Rob Sand stands unopposed in the Democratic gubernatorial primary after challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl failed to qualify by submitting insufficient petition signatures, as confirmed by the Secretary of State's final list on March 17. This procedural outcome has driven trader consensus to price Sand at 97% implied probability of winning the June 2 primary nomination, reflecting the near-certainty of an uncontested ballot absent late write-in efforts. Sand's profile as a popular incumbent auditor, recent petition filing, and party clearing of the field underscore his commanding position, though minimal odds on rivals account for slim chances of successful grassroots challenges or procedural reversals before absentee voting ramps up.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rob Sand" at 97%, followed by "Julie Stauch" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 9, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa" is "Rob Sand" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Julie Stauch" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Iowa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.