Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 12-16°C, driven by ensemble forecast spread from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 14°C but diverge on southerly warm air advection versus lingering cold fronts. The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest guidance highlights uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and cloud cover, with 29.5% odds on 16°C+ reflecting optimistic perturbations amid neutral ENSO conditions. Historical March 27 highs average 13.2°C (1981-2010 baseline), but recent urban heat trends and a mild early spring tilt odds toward mid-teens, differentiating leaders via small shifts in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Key watch: 24-hour forecast update tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?
16°C ou mais 30%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
12°C 11%
6°C ou menos
2%
7°C
5%
8°C
7%
9°C
6%
10°C
14%
11°C
10%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
17%
15°C
27%
16°C ou mais
30%
16°C ou mais 30%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
12°C 11%
6°C ou menos
2%
7°C
5%
8°C
7%
9°C
6%
10°C
14%
11°C
10%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
17%
15°C
27%
16°C ou mais
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 12-16°C, driven by ensemble forecast spread from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 14°C but diverge on southerly warm air advection versus lingering cold fronts. The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest guidance highlights uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and cloud cover, with 29.5% odds on 16°C+ reflecting optimistic perturbations amid neutral ENSO conditions. Historical March 27 highs average 13.2°C (1981-2010 baseline), but recent urban heat trends and a mild early spring tilt odds toward mid-teens, differentiating leaders via small shifts in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Key watch: 24-hour forecast update tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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