Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, with 46% implied probability, driven by recent forecasts from the National Environment Agency (NEA) projecting peaks near this level amid persistent inter-monsoon conditions—warm, humid air with light winds and minimal cloud cover. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 32-33°C, though urban heat island effects in the city-state often push readings higher during low-rainfall spells. Recent developments include above-average temperatures in preceding days, reaching 34°C on March 21, and stable model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating no major cooling front, tempering odds for 34°C+ (22.5%) while downplaying sub-32°C outcomes below 2%. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon thundershowers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 23 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 23 de março?
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
$20,731 Vol.
$20,731 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
28%
33°C
46%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C ou mais
3%
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
$20,731 Vol.
$20,731 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
28%
33°C
46%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, with 46% implied probability, driven by recent forecasts from the National Environment Agency (NEA) projecting peaks near this level amid persistent inter-monsoon conditions—warm, humid air with light winds and minimal cloud cover. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 32-33°C, though urban heat island effects in the city-state often push readings higher during low-rainfall spells. Recent developments include above-average temperatures in preceding days, reaching 34°C on March 21, and stable model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicating no major cooling front, tempering odds for 34°C+ (22.5%) while downplaying sub-32°C outcomes below 2%. Uncertainty lingers from potential afternoon thundershowers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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