Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated by sites including AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration sources, project Chongqing's April 5 high temperature around 24–27°C amid a warming trend from recent cloudy, rainy conditions on April 1–2 (highs 21–26°C). Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities near 21–25°C due to 50–55% shower risks from an approaching frontal system, which could reduce insolation and cap peaks at 21–22°C if clouds persist, versus partial clearing under weak southerly flow enabling 24–25°C. Model spread of 3–5°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and upper-ridge persistence, consistent with spring variability in the Yangtze basin; new runs expected April 3–4 may sharpen consensus before resolution at Jiangbei Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
16%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
6%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
16%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated by sites including AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration sources, project Chongqing's April 5 high temperature around 24–27°C amid a warming trend from recent cloudy, rainy conditions on April 1–2 (highs 21–26°C). Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities near 21–25°C due to 50–55% shower risks from an approaching frontal system, which could reduce insolation and cap peaks at 21–22°C if clouds persist, versus partial clearing under weak southerly flow enabling 24–25°C. Model spread of 3–5°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and upper-ridge persistence, consistent with spring variability in the Yangtze basin; new runs expected April 3–4 may sharpen consensus before resolution at Jiangbei Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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