Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities clustered around 20–24°C due to divergent signals from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs near 20–21°C amid cloudy skies and possible afternoon rain. Recent cool, rainy conditions in late March—highs of 14–17°C—have cooled the soil and atmosphere, capping early spring warming, while climatological normals average 22°C highs, allowing upside potential if high-pressure builds and clears skies. ENSO-neutral conditions limit extremes, but frontal passages introduce variability; key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks versus transient clear intervals boosting them. Watch CMA updates over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan no dia 2 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan no dia 2 de abril?
17°C ou menos 25%
19°C 25%
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C ou menos
17%
18°C
19%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
22%
22°C
25%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C
15%
27°C ou mais
19%
17°C ou menos 25%
19°C 25%
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
17%
18°C
$7 Vol.
19%
19°C
$32 Vol.
18%
20°C
$13 Vol.
17%
21°C
$7 Vol.
22%
22°C
$7 Vol.
25%
23°C
$108 Vol.
13%
24°C
$95 Vol.
19%
25°C
$32 Vol.
9%
26°C
$7 Vol.
15%
27°C ou mais
$93 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities clustered around 20–24°C due to divergent signals from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs near 20–21°C amid cloudy skies and possible afternoon rain. Recent cool, rainy conditions in late March—highs of 14–17°C—have cooled the soil and atmosphere, capping early spring warming, while climatological normals average 22°C highs, allowing upside potential if high-pressure builds and clears skies. ENSO-neutral conditions limit extremes, but frontal passages introduce variability; key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks versus transient clear intervals boosting them. Watch CMA updates over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$421Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities clustered around 20–24°C due to divergent signals from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs near 20–21°C amid cloudy skies and possible afternoon rain. Recent cool, rainy conditions in late March—highs of 14–17°C—have cooled the soil and atmosphere, capping early spring warming, while climatological normals average 22°C highs, allowing upside potential if high-pressure builds and clears skies. ENSO-neutral conditions limit extremes, but frontal passages introduce variability; key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks versus transient clear intervals boosting them. Watch CMA updates over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$421Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities clustered around 20–24°C due to divergent signals from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs near 20–21°C amid cloudy skies and possible afternoon rain. Recent cool, rainy conditions in late March—highs of 14–17°C—have cooled the soil and atmosphere, capping early spring warming, while climatological normals average 22°C highs, allowing upside potential if high-pressure builds and clears skies. ENSO-neutral conditions limit extremes, but frontal passages introduce variability; key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks versus transient clear intervals boosting them. Watch CMA updates over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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