Trader sentiment on Austin's highest temperature March 29 clusters tightly around 82-87°F ranges, reflecting National Weather Service forecast models projecting a high near 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southern Plains. Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs from the past 24 hours show a 2-4°F spread, with southerly winds and ample sunshine favoring mid-80s peaks, though low-level moisture could cap heating via thin cumulus clouds. This unseasonably warm pattern—well above the late March climatological average of 76°F—stems from persistent high pressure following recent frontal passages. Key differentiators include afternoon boundary layer mixing and any convective development; watch NWS Austin/San Antonio's 8 PM CDT forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on March 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 18%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92°F or higher
8%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 18%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Austin's highest temperature March 29 clusters tightly around 82-87°F ranges, reflecting National Weather Service forecast models projecting a high near 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southern Plains. Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs from the past 24 hours show a 2-4°F spread, with southerly winds and ample sunshine favoring mid-80s peaks, though low-level moisture could cap heating via thin cumulus clouds. This unseasonably warm pattern—well above the late March climatological average of 76°F—stems from persistent high pressure following recent frontal passages. Key differentiators include afternoon boundary layer mixing and any convective development; watch NWS Austin/San Antonio's 8 PM CDT forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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