Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's high temperature on March 28, with ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF showing a spread between 66-73°F driven by lingering effects of a recent cool front and incoming ridging aloft. The slight edge to 68-69°F (28.5%) over 70-71°F (26.5%) stems from conservative bias in short-range guidance accounting for potential morning cloud cover and lighter winds limiting peak heating, while historical March norms (average high ~65°F) and current soil moisture levels temper extremes. Key differentiator: 500mb height patterns favoring mild advection; new 12z model runs today could sharpen the signal ahead of afternoon observations resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Atlanta em 28 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Atlanta em 28 de março?
20-21°C 27%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
$58,623 Vol.
$58,623 Vol.
55°F ou menos
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
20%
20-21°C
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
19%
74°F ou mais
11%
20-21°C 27%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
$58,623 Vol.
$58,623 Vol.
55°F ou menos
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
20%
20-21°C
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
19%
74°F ou mais
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's high temperature on March 28, with ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF showing a spread between 66-73°F driven by lingering effects of a recent cool front and incoming ridging aloft. The slight edge to 68-69°F (28.5%) over 70-71°F (26.5%) stems from conservative bias in short-range guidance accounting for potential morning cloud cover and lighter winds limiting peak heating, while historical March norms (average high ~65°F) and current soil moisture levels temper extremes. Key differentiator: 500mb height patterns favoring mild advection; new 12z model runs today could sharpen the signal ahead of afternoon observations resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions