Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 29 high temperature remains tightly clustered around mid-20s to low-30s°C outcomes, driven primarily by divergent ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show a 4-6°C spread amid uncertain frontal passage timing. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest guidance points to a daytime high near 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, tempered by residual moisture from recent East Asian monsoon influences, contrasting historical late-March averages of 23.5°C at Taipei station. Cool outliers like 22°C or below (25%) reflect risks of increased cloud cover or overnight cold air advection, while 32°C+ (20.5%) bets on brief ridging and urban heat amplification; watch CWA's evening update for resolution-defining shifts in boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
22°C or below 25%
32°C or higher 20.5%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
15%
27°C
17%
28°C
15%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
20%
22°C or below 25%
32°C or higher 20.5%
23°C 17%
24°C 17%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C
15%
27°C
17%
28°C
15%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 29 high temperature remains tightly clustered around mid-20s to low-30s°C outcomes, driven primarily by divergent ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show a 4-6°C spread amid uncertain frontal passage timing. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest guidance points to a daytime high near 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, tempered by residual moisture from recent East Asian monsoon influences, contrasting historical late-March averages of 23.5°C at Taipei station. Cool outliers like 22°C or below (25%) reflect risks of increased cloud cover or overnight cold air advection, while 32°C+ (20.5%) bets on brief ridging and urban heat amplification; watch CWA's evening update for resolution-defining shifts in boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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