Latest forecast models from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29, with peaks clustering at 18–21°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover, fueling trader consensus reflected in evenly matched market-implied odds near 20% for 18–21°C outcomes. Recent 48-hour updates indicate subtle model divergences: warmer GFS runs factor in reduced low-level moisture for better diurnal heating in the Yangtze River basin, while cooler ECMWF projections emphasize persistent stratiform clouds from upstream frontal remnants, capping highs below 20°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 17–19°C, but urban heat island effects in Chongqing amplify variability; traders await China's Meteorological Administration evening briefing for refined guidance on wind shear and insolation potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
20°C 18%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
21%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
20°C 18%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
21%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29, with peaks clustering at 18–21°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover, fueling trader consensus reflected in evenly matched market-implied odds near 20% for 18–21°C outcomes. Recent 48-hour updates indicate subtle model divergences: warmer GFS runs factor in reduced low-level moisture for better diurnal heating in the Yangtze River basin, while cooler ECMWF projections emphasize persistent stratiform clouds from upstream frontal remnants, capping highs below 20°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 17–19°C, but urban heat island effects in Chongqing amplify variability; traders await China's Meteorological Administration evening briefing for refined guidance on wind shear and insolation potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions