Trader consensus favors a high of 82-83°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 23% implied probability, edging out nearby bins like 84-85°F (14.5%) and 78-79°F (13.5%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer moisture—drier air favors 84°F+ via enhanced solar insolation, while lingering low-level clouds or earlier cold front remnants cap highs at 78-79°F—and Atlanta's urban heat island amplifying afternoon maxima by 2-4°F above rural stations. Historical March 27 averages hover at 68°F, but this anomalously warm pattern reflects persistent ridging; watch tonight's 00Z model runs for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 16%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 16%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 82-83°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 23% implied probability, edging out nearby bins like 84-85°F (14.5%) and 78-79°F (13.5%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer moisture—drier air favors 84°F+ via enhanced solar insolation, while lingering low-level clouds or earlier cold front remnants cap highs at 78-79°F—and Atlanta's urban heat island amplifying afternoon maxima by 2-4°F above rural stations. Historical March 27 averages hover at 68°F, but this anomalously warm pattern reflects persistent ridging; watch tonight's 00Z model runs for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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