Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on March 26 at 59.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) indicating a daytime high near 33°C amid persistent hot and humid conditions transitioning from the northeast monsoon. Recent observational data shows highs of 32–34°C over the past week, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting convective cooling, while model ensembles from global weather services like ECMWF and GFS align on subdued rainfall potential. Climatologically, March averages 32°C but recent El Niño influences have elevated baselines; 32°C (27%) and 34°C (14.5%) reflect uncertainty in peak heating, with new MSS updates expected by morning to potentially refine odds before the daily maximum around 3–4 PM local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 66%
32°C 23%
34°C 13%
35°C <1%
$84,303 Vol.
$84,303 Vol.
27°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
23%
33°C
66%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 23%
34°C 13%
35°C <1%
$84,303 Vol.
$84,303 Vol.
27°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
23%
33°C
66%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on March 26 at 59.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) indicating a daytime high near 33°C amid persistent hot and humid conditions transitioning from the northeast monsoon. Recent observational data shows highs of 32–34°C over the past week, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting convective cooling, while model ensembles from global weather services like ECMWF and GFS align on subdued rainfall potential. Climatologically, March averages 32°C but recent El Niño influences have elevated baselines; 32°C (27%) and 34°C (14.5%) reflect uncertainty in peak heating, with new MSS updates expected by morning to potentially refine odds before the daily maximum around 3–4 PM local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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