Latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 21°C for Wuhan on April 3, with scattered showers and cloud cover likely suppressing diurnal heating and differentiating closely contested outcomes around 21–25°C, while 30.5% implied probability on 26°C+ reflects drier, sunnier outlier scenarios. Early April climatology features average highs of 21–22°C amid variable spring frontal passages and emerging East Asian monsoon influences, compounded by recent cooldown from March 29's 24°C peak to cooler March 30 conditions around 17–18°C. Trader sentiment captures this uncertainty, as 3–5 day projections diverge on precipitation timing and solar insolation; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
26°C or higher 33%
22°C 23%
21°C 21%
23°C 21%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
23%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
33%
26°C or higher 33%
22°C 23%
21°C 21%
23°C 21%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
23%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 21°C for Wuhan on April 3, with scattered showers and cloud cover likely suppressing diurnal heating and differentiating closely contested outcomes around 21–25°C, while 30.5% implied probability on 26°C+ reflects drier, sunnier outlier scenarios. Early April climatology features average highs of 21–22°C amid variable spring frontal passages and emerging East Asian monsoon influences, compounded by recent cooldown from March 29's 24°C peak to cooler March 30 conditions around 17–18°C. Trader sentiment captures this uncertainty, as 3–5 day projections diverge on precipitation timing and solar insolation; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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