Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 17°C on March 30, with 36% on 18°C, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast—issued March 29—projecting a daytime high near 18°C amid persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover. Morning observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport logged lows around 7°C under overcast skies, suppressing solar insolation and limiting the diurnal temperature rise typical for late March in this humid subtropical climate, where historical averages hover 15–20°C. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show convergence around 17–18°C peaks in the afternoon, though ongoing precipitation introduces uncertainty; final resolution hinges on official airport readings by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
17°C 57%
18°C 28%
19°C 6%
20°C 2.3%
$25,084 Vol.
$25,084 Vol.
17°C
57%
18°C
30%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 57%
18°C 28%
19°C 6%
20°C 2.3%
$25,084 Vol.
$25,084 Vol.
17°C
57%
18°C
30%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 17°C on March 30, with 36% on 18°C, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast—issued March 29—projecting a daytime high near 18°C amid persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover. Morning observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport logged lows around 7°C under overcast skies, suppressing solar insolation and limiting the diurnal temperature rise typical for late March in this humid subtropical climate, where historical averages hover 15–20°C. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show convergence around 17–18°C peaks in the afternoon, though ongoing precipitation introduces uncertainty; final resolution hinges on official airport readings by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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