National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 show a high near 80°F under mostly sunny conditions with easterly winds of 11-15 mph, driving the trader consensus split between 80-81°F (37% implied probability) and 82-83°F (33%). Persistent high pressure and sea breeze circulation promote boundary layer mixing that caps peaks, while subtle GFS/ECMWF ensemble spread—averaging low-to-mid 80s—fuels the close race, as minor ridge amplification could push toward 82-83°F. Recent 24-hour updates reveal stable guidance with low precipitation odds (under 30%), aligning with ENSO-neutral conditions post-La Niña transition per NOAA, against April climatological norms of ~82°F highs at Miami International Airport. Watch 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
73°F or below
$885 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$481 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$445 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$571 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$715 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$1,276 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$393 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$311 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$421 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$364 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 show a high near 80°F under mostly sunny conditions with easterly winds of 11-15 mph, driving the trader consensus split between 80-81°F (37% implied probability) and 82-83°F (33%). Persistent high pressure and sea breeze circulation promote boundary layer mixing that caps peaks, while subtle GFS/ECMWF ensemble spread—averaging low-to-mid 80s—fuels the close race, as minor ridge amplification could push toward 82-83°F. Recent 24-hour updates reveal stable guidance with low precipitation odds (under 30%), aligning with ENSO-neutral conditions post-La Niña transition per NOAA, against April climatological norms of ~82°F highs at Miami International Airport. Watch 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,227Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 show a high near 80°F under mostly sunny conditions with easterly winds of 11-15 mph, driving the trader consensus split between 80-81°F (37% implied probability) and 82-83°F (33%). Persistent high pressure and sea breeze circulation promote boundary layer mixing that caps peaks, while subtle GFS/ECMWF ensemble spread—averaging low-to-mid 80s—fuels the close race, as minor ridge amplification could push toward 82-83°F. Recent 24-hour updates reveal stable guidance with low precipitation odds (under 30%), aligning with ENSO-neutral conditions post-La Niña transition per NOAA, against April climatological norms of ~82°F highs at Miami International Airport. Watch 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,227Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 show a high near 80°F under mostly sunny conditions with easterly winds of 11-15 mph, driving the trader consensus split between 80-81°F (37% implied probability) and 82-83°F (33%). Persistent high pressure and sea breeze circulation promote boundary layer mixing that caps peaks, while subtle GFS/ECMWF ensemble spread—averaging low-to-mid 80s—fuels the close race, as minor ridge amplification could push toward 82-83°F. Recent 24-hour updates reveal stable guidance with low precipitation odds (under 30%), aligning with ENSO-neutral conditions post-La Niña transition per NOAA, against April climatological norms of ~82°F highs at Miami International Airport. Watch 12z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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