Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
23°C 21%
24°C 21%
28°C or higher 20%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
11%
26°C
11%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
20%
23°C 21%
24°C 21%
28°C or higher 20%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$30 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volume
$35Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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