Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
19°C 24%
21°C or higher 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
17%
16°C
16%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C
24%
20°C
19%
21°C or higher
21%
19°C 24%
21°C or higher 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
$145 Vol.
3%
12°C
$198 Vol.
1%
13°C
$244 Vol.
1%
14°C
$311 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$6 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$899Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$899Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions