India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts issued March 28 show Lucknow's maximum temperatures peaking at 36.5–36.6°C on March 30 before dipping to 34°C on March 31 amid expected thunderstorms and gusty winds, stabilizing near 34–37°C into early April per adjacent district trends. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (25%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting model agreement on mid-30s highs under a continental tropical air mass with low humidity (50–60%) promoting daytime heating, tempered by lingering cloud cover and southerly winds from recent western disturbances. Uncertainties in cloud persistence and soil moisture differentiate close outcomes like 35–38°C (18% each), with GFS and ECMWF ensembles varying by 2–3°C; daily IMD updates through April 2 will refine resolution based on Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport observations. Historical early-April averages hover at 36–38°C, underscoring typical pre-monsoon variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
37°C 25%
34°C or below 21%
36°C 20%
38°C 19%
34°C or below
21%
35°C
18%
36°C
20%
37°C
25%
38°C
19%
39°C
17%
40°C
17%
41°C
17%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
37°C 25%
34°C or below 21%
36°C 20%
38°C 19%
34°C or below
21%
35°C
18%
36°C
20%
37°C
25%
38°C
19%
39°C
17%
40°C
17%
41°C
17%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts issued March 28 show Lucknow's maximum temperatures peaking at 36.5–36.6°C on March 30 before dipping to 34°C on March 31 amid expected thunderstorms and gusty winds, stabilizing near 34–37°C into early April per adjacent district trends. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 34°C or below (25%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting model agreement on mid-30s highs under a continental tropical air mass with low humidity (50–60%) promoting daytime heating, tempered by lingering cloud cover and southerly winds from recent western disturbances. Uncertainties in cloud persistence and soil moisture differentiate close outcomes like 35–38°C (18% each), with GFS and ECMWF ensembles varying by 2–3°C; daily IMD updates through April 2 will refine resolution based on Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport observations. Historical early-April averages hover at 36–38°C, underscoring typical pre-monsoon variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions