Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest high of 52-53°F at 35.5% implied probability for Seattle on April 2, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 29.5%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 51-52°F—below the 55.8°F climatological average for the date. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific sustains a cool marine layer and low stratus clouds over Puget Sound, capping daytime heating and favoring subdued temperatures amid typical early spring variability. Differentiation hinges on subtle model spread: stronger afternoon clearing or ridge influence could nudge toward 52-53°F, while thicker clouds or enhanced northwest winds tip to 50-51°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates through April 1 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 2 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 2 de abril?
52-53°F 34%
50-51°F 31%
54-55°F 20%
44-45°F 10%
39°F ou menos
1%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
7%
44-45°F
10%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
34%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
5%
58°F ou mais
3%
52-53°F 34%
50-51°F 31%
54-55°F 20%
44-45°F 10%
39°F ou menos
1%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
7%
44-45°F
10%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
34%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
5%
58°F ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest high of 52-53°F at 35.5% implied probability for Seattle on April 2, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 29.5%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 51-52°F—below the 55.8°F climatological average for the date. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific sustains a cool marine layer and low stratus clouds over Puget Sound, capping daytime heating and favoring subdued temperatures amid typical early spring variability. Differentiation hinges on subtle model spread: stronger afternoon clearing or ridge influence could nudge toward 52-53°F, while thicker clouds or enhanced northwest winds tip to 50-51°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates through April 1 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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