Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

15°C 34%

12°C 25%

14°C 24%

16°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C 34%

12°C 25%

14°C 24%

16°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$133 Vol.

1%

8°C

$243 Vol.

4%

9°C

$289 Vol.

3%

10°C

$702 Vol.

2%

11°C

$19 Vol.

13%

12°C

$43 Vol.

18%

13°C

$15 Vol.

9%

14°C

$32 Vol.

24%

15°C

$47 Vol.

34%

16°C

$20 Vol.

16%

17°C or higher

$15 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 14-16°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C at 32% implied probability amid a tight spread with 14°C (24%) and 16°C (17%). This reflects early spring continental climate variability, where cold air advection from recent northern flows has kept recent highs below 12°C, but warming high-pressure ridging is projected to build, boosting daytime maxima. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 14°C and southerly winds favoring 16°C or higher; historical early April averages hover at 14°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation. MGM updates and new model runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 14-16°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C at 32% implied probability amid a tight spread with 14°C (24%) and 16°C (17%). This reflects early spring continental climate variability, where cold air advection from recent northern flows has kept recent highs below 12°C, but warming high-pressure ridging is projected to build, boosting daytime maxima. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 14°C and southerly winds favoring 16°C or higher; historical early April averages hover at 14°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation. MGM updates and new model runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 14-16°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C at 32% implied probability amid a tight spread with 14°C (24%) and 16°C (17%). This reflects early spring continental climate variability, where cold air advection from recent northern flows has kept recent highs below 12°C, but warming high-pressure ridging is projected to build, boosting daytime maxima. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 14°C and southerly winds favoring 16°C or higher; historical early April averages hover at 14°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation. MGM updates and new model runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 14-16°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C at 32% implied probability amid a tight spread with 14°C (24%) and 16°C (17%). This reflects early spring continental climate variability, where cold air advection from recent northern flows has kept recent highs below 12°C, but warming high-pressure ridging is projected to build, boosting daytime maxima. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peaks below 14°C and southerly winds favoring 16°C or higher; historical early April averages hover at 14°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation. MGM updates and new model runs expected daily could shift odds before resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15°C" at 34%, followed by "14°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" is "15°C" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.