Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close uncertainty in Seoul's forecast models for March 29, with 17°C or higher at 30% implied probability edging out mid-teens outcomes around 20% each, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) ensemble predictions showing a mean high near 15-16°C amid variable spring patterns. Recent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, evident in the past 48 hours' GFS and ECMWF updates, supports mild warmth from southerly flows, but lingering cold air pockets and cloud cover introduce downside risk toward 13-14°C. Historical March data averages 11-13°C highs, with anomalies this week tied to weakening East Asian monsoon influences; watch KMA's evening update for refined convective outlooks that could tip the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 29 de março?
17°C ou mais 30%
14°C 21%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
7°C ou menos
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
16%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C ou mais
30%
17°C ou mais 30%
14°C 21%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
7°C ou menos
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
16%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C ou mais
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close uncertainty in Seoul's forecast models for March 29, with 17°C or higher at 30% implied probability edging out mid-teens outcomes around 20% each, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) ensemble predictions showing a mean high near 15-16°C amid variable spring patterns. Recent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, evident in the past 48 hours' GFS and ECMWF updates, supports mild warmth from southerly flows, but lingering cold air pockets and cloud cover introduce downside risk toward 13-14°C. Historical March data averages 11-13°C highs, with anomalies this week tied to weakening East Asian monsoon influences; watch KMA's evening update for refined convective outlooks that could tip the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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