Recent National Weather Service forecasts drive the 47.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 68°F or higher on March 28, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 70°F under a building high-pressure ridge fostering mild, sunny conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this shift from earlier cooler outlooks, as a warming trend post-midweek front boosts upper-60s likelihood, aligning with late-March climatology averaging 71°F highs. Lower bins like 66-67°F (17.5%) capture model spread and potential cloud interference, while sub-60°F odds remain slim absent unexpected cold air advection; monitor 18Z model runs for resolution tweaks amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 48%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
48%
68°F or higher 48%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts drive the 47.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 68°F or higher on March 28, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 70°F under a building high-pressure ridge fostering mild, sunny conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this shift from earlier cooler outlooks, as a warming trend post-midweek front boosts upper-60s likelihood, aligning with late-March climatology averaging 71°F highs. Lower bins like 66-67°F (17.5%) capture model spread and potential cloud interference, while sub-60°F odds remain slim absent unexpected cold air advection; monitor 18Z model runs for resolution tweaks amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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