Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 15–17°C highs for Istanbul on March 31 (23–25.5% implied probabilities each), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mean daily maxima around 16°C amid mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the weekend following early March chill, with current observations at Istanbul Airport logging afternoon peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with model guidance for limited diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads (±1–2°C) tied to cloud cover evolution, potential afternoon showers, and Black Sea moderation; historical March averages hover at 13–15°C, underscoring typical spring uncertainty. New 00z/12z forecast updates expected within 24 hours could refine these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 31 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 31 de março?
17°C 26%
16°C 25%
15°C 23%
8°C ou menos 17%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
8°C ou menos
10%
9°C
6%
10°C
16%
11°C
11%
12°C
15%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
23%
16°C
25%
17°C
26%
18°C ou mais
13%
17°C 26%
16°C 25%
15°C 23%
8°C ou menos 17%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
8°C ou menos
$464 Vol.
10%
9°C
$145 Vol.
6%
10°C
$287 Vol.
16%
11°C
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$5 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$10 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C ou mais
$30 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 15–17°C highs for Istanbul on March 31 (23–25.5% implied probabilities each), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mean daily maxima around 16°C amid mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the weekend following early March chill, with current observations at Istanbul Airport logging afternoon peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with model guidance for limited diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads (±1–2°C) tied to cloud cover evolution, potential afternoon showers, and Black Sea moderation; historical March averages hover at 13–15°C, underscoring typical spring uncertainty. New 00z/12z forecast updates expected within 24 hours could refine these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$942Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 15–17°C highs for Istanbul on March 31 (23–25.5% implied probabilities each), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mean daily maxima around 16°C amid mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the weekend following early March chill, with current observations at Istanbul Airport logging afternoon peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with model guidance for limited diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads (±1–2°C) tied to cloud cover evolution, potential afternoon showers, and Black Sea moderation; historical March averages hover at 13–15°C, underscoring typical spring uncertainty. New 00z/12z forecast updates expected within 24 hours could refine these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$942Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 15–17°C highs for Istanbul on March 31 (23–25.5% implied probabilities each), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mean daily maxima around 16°C amid mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. Recent developments include a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the weekend following early March chill, with current observations at Istanbul Airport logging afternoon peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with model guidance for limited diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads (±1–2°C) tied to cloud cover evolution, potential afternoon showers, and Black Sea moderation; historical March averages hover at 13–15°C, underscoring typical spring uncertainty. New 00z/12z forecast updates expected within 24 hours could refine these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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