Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, issued March 30, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 2 reaching 17°C amid showers and southerly winds, closely matching tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring 16°C (24.5%) over 17°C (18.5%) and 18°C (17.0%). This reflects ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where partial cloud cover from lingering Atlantic moisture tempers solar insolation and daytime mixing, potentially capping peaks at 15-17°C versus clearer scenarios pushing 18-19°C; recent cold spell through late March has introduced cooler low-level biases against climatological early-April highs near 16°C. Differentiation hinges on shower timing and 850 hPa temperature advection strength, with 12z model runs and MGM updates tomorrow likely to refine trader consensus as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
16°C 26%
15°C 20%
17°C 18%
13°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
20%
16°C
26%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
8%
16°C 26%
15°C 20%
17°C 18%
13°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
10°C or below
$235 Vol.
5%
11°C
$1 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
7%
13°C
$0 Vol.
17%
14°C
$3 Vol.
17%
15°C
$8 Vol.
20%
16°C
$12 Vol.
26%
17°C
$6 Vol.
17%
18°C
$5 Vol.
17%
19°C
$27 Vol.
13%
20°C or higher
$33 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, issued March 30, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 2 reaching 17°C amid showers and southerly winds, closely matching tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring 16°C (24.5%) over 17°C (18.5%) and 18°C (17.0%). This reflects ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where partial cloud cover from lingering Atlantic moisture tempers solar insolation and daytime mixing, potentially capping peaks at 15-17°C versus clearer scenarios pushing 18-19°C; recent cold spell through late March has introduced cooler low-level biases against climatological early-April highs near 16°C. Differentiation hinges on shower timing and 850 hPa temperature advection strength, with 12z model runs and MGM updates tomorrow likely to refine trader consensus as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$331Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, issued March 30, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 2 reaching 17°C amid showers and southerly winds, closely matching tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring 16°C (24.5%) over 17°C (18.5%) and 18°C (17.0%). This reflects ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where partial cloud cover from lingering Atlantic moisture tempers solar insolation and daytime mixing, potentially capping peaks at 15-17°C versus clearer scenarios pushing 18-19°C; recent cold spell through late March has introduced cooler low-level biases against climatological early-April highs near 16°C. Differentiation hinges on shower timing and 850 hPa temperature advection strength, with 12z model runs and MGM updates tomorrow likely to refine trader consensus as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$331Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, issued March 30, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 2 reaching 17°C amid showers and southerly winds, closely matching tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring 16°C (24.5%) over 17°C (18.5%) and 18°C (17.0%). This reflects ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where partial cloud cover from lingering Atlantic moisture tempers solar insolation and daytime mixing, potentially capping peaks at 15-17°C versus clearer scenarios pushing 18-19°C; recent cold spell through late March has introduced cooler low-level biases against climatological early-April highs near 16°C. Differentiation hinges on shower timing and 850 hPa temperature advection strength, with 12z model runs and MGM updates tomorrow likely to refine trader consensus as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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