Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward a high of 76°F or higher at 29.5% for Houston on April 5, reflecting uncertainty in the timing and impacts of an approaching cold front forecast by the National Weather Service to stall over Southeast Texas through Easter Sunday. National Weather Service guidance projects highs in the 70s amid scattered showers, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover—below the 78°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport—driven by reduced diurnal heating and southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph ahead of the boundary. Model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight variables like frontal speed, precipitation coverage, and morning clearing potential, which could push outcomes toward 72-73°F (18.5%) if rain dominates or 68-69°F (16.5%) with heavier storms; daily forecast updates expected through April 4 will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
76°F or higher 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 16%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
32%
76°F or higher 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 16%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
57°F or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$77 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$74 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$55 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$54 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$186 Vol.
10%
68-69°F
$92 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$105 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$71 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$86 Vol.
12%
76°F or higher
$236 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward a high of 76°F or higher at 29.5% for Houston on April 5, reflecting uncertainty in the timing and impacts of an approaching cold front forecast by the National Weather Service to stall over Southeast Texas through Easter Sunday. National Weather Service guidance projects highs in the 70s amid scattered showers, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover—below the 78°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport—driven by reduced diurnal heating and southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph ahead of the boundary. Model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight variables like frontal speed, precipitation coverage, and morning clearing potential, which could push outcomes toward 72-73°F (18.5%) if rain dominates or 68-69°F (16.5%) with heavier storms; daily forecast updates expected through April 4 will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Volume
$1,238Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward a high of 76°F or higher at 29.5% for Houston on April 5, reflecting uncertainty in the timing and impacts of an approaching cold front forecast by the National Weather Service to stall over Southeast Texas through Easter Sunday. National Weather Service guidance projects highs in the 70s amid scattered showers, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover—below the 78°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport—driven by reduced diurnal heating and southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph ahead of the boundary. Model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight variables like frontal speed, precipitation coverage, and morning clearing potential, which could push outcomes toward 72-73°F (18.5%) if rain dominates or 68-69°F (16.5%) with heavier storms; daily forecast updates expected through April 4 will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,238Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward a high of 76°F or higher at 29.5% for Houston on April 5, reflecting uncertainty in the timing and impacts of an approaching cold front forecast by the National Weather Service to stall over Southeast Texas through Easter Sunday. National Weather Service guidance projects highs in the 70s amid scattered showers, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover—below the 78°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport—driven by reduced diurnal heating and southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph ahead of the boundary. Model spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight variables like frontal speed, precipitation coverage, and morning clearing potential, which could push outcomes toward 72-73°F (18.5%) if rain dominates or 68-69°F (16.5%) with heavier storms; daily forecast updates expected through April 4 will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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