Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 48-51°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes as traders weigh marine layer persistence versus potential clearing. Following atmospheric rivers that soaked the Pacific Northwest through mid-March, a lingering cool, moist air mass under weak high pressure has capped daytime heating, with low stratus clouds limiting insolation—favoring 46-49°F if overcast dominates, but 50-53°F possible with afternoon breaks. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures amid La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, yet short-term uncertainty persists in cloud evolution and offshore winds. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
48-49°F 37%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 18.1%
46-47°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
13%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
24%
48-49°F
31%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 37%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 18.1%
46-47°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
$80 Vol.
13%
44-45°F
$56 Vol.
8%
46-47°F
$61 Vol.
24%
48-49°F
$121 Vol.
31%
50-51°F
$115 Vol.
31%
52-53°F
$36 Vol.
25%
54-55°F
$113 Vol.
6%
56-57°F
$62 Vol.
13%
58-59°F
$327 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$327 Vol.
1%
62°F or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 48-51°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes as traders weigh marine layer persistence versus potential clearing. Following atmospheric rivers that soaked the Pacific Northwest through mid-March, a lingering cool, moist air mass under weak high pressure has capped daytime heating, with low stratus clouds limiting insolation—favoring 46-49°F if overcast dominates, but 50-53°F possible with afternoon breaks. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures amid La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, yet short-term uncertainty persists in cloud evolution and offshore winds. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$1,273Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 48-51°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes as traders weigh marine layer persistence versus potential clearing. Following atmospheric rivers that soaked the Pacific Northwest through mid-March, a lingering cool, moist air mass under weak high pressure has capped daytime heating, with low stratus clouds limiting insolation—favoring 46-49°F if overcast dominates, but 50-53°F possible with afternoon breaks. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures amid La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, yet short-term uncertainty persists in cloud evolution and offshore winds. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,273Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 1 clustering around 48-51°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes as traders weigh marine layer persistence versus potential clearing. Following atmospheric rivers that soaked the Pacific Northwest through mid-March, a lingering cool, moist air mass under weak high pressure has capped daytime heating, with low stratus clouds limiting insolation—favoring 46-49°F if overcast dominates, but 50-53°F possible with afternoon breaks. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures amid La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition, yet short-term uncertainty persists in cloud evolution and offshore winds. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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