Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high temperature near 50°F on March 30 under overcast skies with chances of light rain, aligning trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 50-51°F and 30.5% for 48-49°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level trough channeling cool marine air from the Pacific, consistent with NOAA Climate Prediction Center's March outlook favoring below-normal temperatures and above-average precipitation amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition. Compared to the 56°F climatological normal at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, current guidance indicates suppressed highs due to stratiform cloud cover and weak onshore flow. Uncertainty persists in exact peak timing, with updated model runs expected this afternoon potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 30 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 30 de março?
50-51°F 36%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 13%
46-47°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
41°F ou menos
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
12%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
36%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60°F ou mais
1%
50-51°F 36%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 13%
46-47°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
41°F ou menos
$584 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$1,535 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$938 Vol.
3%
46-47°F
$347 Vol.
12%
48-49°F
$322 Vol.
27%
50-51°F
$459 Vol.
36%
52-53°F
$386 Vol.
13%
54-55°F
$473 Vol.
4%
56-57°F
$847 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$939 Vol.
1%
60°F ou mais
$733 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high temperature near 50°F on March 30 under overcast skies with chances of light rain, aligning trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 50-51°F and 30.5% for 48-49°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level trough channeling cool marine air from the Pacific, consistent with NOAA Climate Prediction Center's March outlook favoring below-normal temperatures and above-average precipitation amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition. Compared to the 56°F climatological normal at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, current guidance indicates suppressed highs due to stratiform cloud cover and weak onshore flow. Uncertainty persists in exact peak timing, with updated model runs expected this afternoon potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$7,555Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high temperature near 50°F on March 30 under overcast skies with chances of light rain, aligning trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 50-51°F and 30.5% for 48-49°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level trough channeling cool marine air from the Pacific, consistent with NOAA Climate Prediction Center's March outlook favoring below-normal temperatures and above-average precipitation amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition. Compared to the 56°F climatological normal at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, current guidance indicates suppressed highs due to stratiform cloud cover and weak onshore flow. Uncertainty persists in exact peak timing, with updated model runs expected this afternoon potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,555Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high temperature near 50°F on March 30 under overcast skies with chances of light rain, aligning trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 50-51°F and 30.5% for 48-49°F. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level trough channeling cool marine air from the Pacific, consistent with NOAA Climate Prediction Center's March outlook favoring below-normal temperatures and above-average precipitation amid the La Niña-to-neutral ENSO transition. Compared to the 56°F climatological normal at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, current guidance indicates suppressed highs due to stratiform cloud cover and weak onshore flow. Uncertainty persists in exact peak timing, with updated model runs expected this afternoon potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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