Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (55.5% implied probability) for Seattle on April 3, closely mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting a peak near 57°F under partly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This positioning stems from recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble model runs updated overnight on April 2, which converged on mid-50s highs amid a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly winds reducing persistent marine stratus influence typical for early spring in the Puget Sound region. Climatological normals for early April hover at 57°F, with historical daily highs rarely exceeding 70°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential cloud cover variations and diurnal heating; monitor NWS Seattle's afternoon area forecast discussion and hourly observations for intraday shifts that could sway outcomes toward adjacent bins like 58-59°F (24.5%).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 3 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 3 de abril?
56-57°F 56%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 11%
52-53°F 3.5%
$39,848 Vol.
$39,848 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
4%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
56%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
56-57°F 56%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 11%
52-53°F 3.5%
$39,848 Vol.
$39,848 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
4%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
56%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (55.5% implied probability) for Seattle on April 3, closely mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting a peak near 57°F under partly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This positioning stems from recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble model runs updated overnight on April 2, which converged on mid-50s highs amid a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly winds reducing persistent marine stratus influence typical for early spring in the Puget Sound region. Climatological normals for early April hover at 57°F, with historical daily highs rarely exceeding 70°F. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential cloud cover variations and diurnal heating; monitor NWS Seattle's afternoon area forecast discussion and hourly observations for intraday shifts that could sway outcomes toward adjacent bins like 58-59°F (24.5%).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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