Trader consensus on Polymarket favors highs of 62-63°F (32.5% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mild upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest, offsetting typical cool-season marine influences and pushing temperatures 4-6°F above the early April climatological average of 57°F. Closely competing 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) odds reflect model spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud clearing from lingering stratus decks, with drier conditions per NOAA's warm, above-normal spring outlook amplifying solar insolation potential. Key differentiators include low-level onshore flow strength and timing of ridge amplification; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
62-63°F 33%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 22%
58-59°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
33%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 33%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 22%
58-59°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
$259 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$61 Vol.
4%
58-59°F
$46 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$192 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$262 Vol.
33%
64-65°F
$142 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$60 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$50 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$66 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$56 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors highs of 62-63°F (32.5% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mild upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest, offsetting typical cool-season marine influences and pushing temperatures 4-6°F above the early April climatological average of 57°F. Closely competing 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) odds reflect model spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud clearing from lingering stratus decks, with drier conditions per NOAA's warm, above-normal spring outlook amplifying solar insolation potential. Key differentiators include low-level onshore flow strength and timing of ridge amplification; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,378Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors highs of 62-63°F (32.5% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mild upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest, offsetting typical cool-season marine influences and pushing temperatures 4-6°F above the early April climatological average of 57°F. Closely competing 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) odds reflect model spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud clearing from lingering stratus decks, with drier conditions per NOAA's warm, above-normal spring outlook amplifying solar insolation potential. Key differentiators include low-level onshore flow strength and timing of ridge amplification; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,378Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors highs of 62-63°F (32.5% implied probability) for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mild upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest, offsetting typical cool-season marine influences and pushing temperatures 4-6°F above the early April climatological average of 57°F. Closely competing 60-61°F (23.5%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) odds reflect model spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud clearing from lingering stratus decks, with drier conditions per NOAA's warm, above-normal spring outlook amplifying solar insolation potential. Key differentiators include low-level onshore flow strength and timing of ridge amplification; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions