Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 5, with tight odds around 22–24°C reflecting the inherent uncertainty in four-day forecasts, where model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF typically show spreads of 2–3°C for daily highs. Recent cool conditions through late March—midday readings of 15–19°C under scattered clouds and showers—have carried over, tempering springtime solar heating despite the city's dry season and high-elevation (2,240 meters) moderation of extremes. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence, upper-level winds influencing subsidence, and transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 4 could shift the balance as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
22°C 28%
23°C 28%
24°C 25%
21°C or below 13%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
21°C or below
13%
22°C
19%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
13%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
22°C 28%
23°C 28%
24°C 25%
21°C or below 13%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$36 Vol.
19%
23°C
$35 Vol.
22%
24°C
$5 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$52 Vol.
3%
30°C
$160 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$309 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 5, with tight odds around 22–24°C reflecting the inherent uncertainty in four-day forecasts, where model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF typically show spreads of 2–3°C for daily highs. Recent cool conditions through late March—midday readings of 15–19°C under scattered clouds and showers—have carried over, tempering springtime solar heating despite the city's dry season and high-elevation (2,240 meters) moderation of extremes. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence, upper-level winds influencing subsidence, and transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 4 could shift the balance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$596Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 5, with tight odds around 22–24°C reflecting the inherent uncertainty in four-day forecasts, where model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF typically show spreads of 2–3°C for daily highs. Recent cool conditions through late March—midday readings of 15–19°C under scattered clouds and showers—have carried over, tempering springtime solar heating despite the city's dry season and high-elevation (2,240 meters) moderation of extremes. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence, upper-level winds influencing subsidence, and transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 4 could shift the balance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$596Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 23°C for Mexico City on April 5, with tight odds around 22–24°C reflecting the inherent uncertainty in four-day forecasts, where model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF typically show spreads of 2–3°C for daily highs. Recent cool conditions through late March—midday readings of 15–19°C under scattered clouds and showers—have carried over, tempering springtime solar heating despite the city's dry season and high-elevation (2,240 meters) moderation of extremes. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence, upper-level winds influencing subsidence, and transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 4 could shift the balance as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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