NEA's April 1 fortnightly outlook forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore's first half of April amid inter-monsoon onset, with thundery afternoon showers on most days potentially extending evenings, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 39.5% implied probability over 31°C (30.5%) and 33°C (19.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud coverage suppressing peaks. Equatorial insolation and urban heat island effects drive baseline highs near 32°C historically for April, but light variable winds promote cumulus build-up that curbs solar heating if showers arrive early afternoon; patchy or delayed rain enables NEA-projected spikes above 35°C on clearer days, as seen in late March's 35.4°C record. Daily NEA updates through April 5 will refine model consensus on shower timing and extent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
$10,314 Vol.
$10,314 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
$10,314 Vol.
$10,314 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's April 1 fortnightly outlook forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore's first half of April amid inter-monsoon onset, with thundery afternoon showers on most days potentially extending evenings, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 39.5% implied probability over 31°C (30.5%) and 33°C (19.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud coverage suppressing peaks. Equatorial insolation and urban heat island effects drive baseline highs near 32°C historically for April, but light variable winds promote cumulus build-up that curbs solar heating if showers arrive early afternoon; patchy or delayed rain enables NEA-projected spikes above 35°C on clearer days, as seen in late March's 35.4°C record. Daily NEA updates through April 5 will refine model consensus on shower timing and extent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions