Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate Milan daytime highs of 17-20°C on April 2 under mostly sunny skies from a building high-pressure ridge, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 18°C (25% implied probability), 17°C (20%), and 19°C (16%). This spread reflects model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and southerly flow strength, with drier members favoring 19°C via enhanced insolation, while cloudier runs cap at 17°C; urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge toward 18°C. Early April climatology supports these levels (historical average ~17°C), following March's variable patterns with recent mild stabilization. New runs from Italian ARPA models and ECMWF updates by March 31 will clarify soil moisture and boundary layer conditions ahead of resolution via Linate Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 2?
19°C 21%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
19%
18°C
36%
19°C
21%
20°C
13%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
12%
19°C 21%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
12°C or below
$154 Vol.
1%
13°C
$158 Vol.
1%
14°C
$96 Vol.
2%
15°C
$22 Vol.
8%
16°C
$22 Vol.
9%
17°C
$22 Vol.
19%
18°C
$52 Vol.
36%
19°C
$32 Vol.
21%
20°C
$22 Vol.
13%
21°C
$22 Vol.
12%
22°C or higher
$22 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate Milan daytime highs of 17-20°C on April 2 under mostly sunny skies from a building high-pressure ridge, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 18°C (25% implied probability), 17°C (20%), and 19°C (16%). This spread reflects model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and southerly flow strength, with drier members favoring 19°C via enhanced insolation, while cloudier runs cap at 17°C; urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge toward 18°C. Early April climatology supports these levels (historical average ~17°C), following March's variable patterns with recent mild stabilization. New runs from Italian ARPA models and ECMWF updates by March 31 will clarify soil moisture and boundary layer conditions ahead of resolution via Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$623Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate Milan daytime highs of 17-20°C on April 2 under mostly sunny skies from a building high-pressure ridge, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 18°C (25% implied probability), 17°C (20%), and 19°C (16%). This spread reflects model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and southerly flow strength, with drier members favoring 19°C via enhanced insolation, while cloudier runs cap at 17°C; urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge toward 18°C. Early April climatology supports these levels (historical average ~17°C), following March's variable patterns with recent mild stabilization. New runs from Italian ARPA models and ECMWF updates by March 31 will clarify soil moisture and boundary layer conditions ahead of resolution via Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$623Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate Milan daytime highs of 17-20°C on April 2 under mostly sunny skies from a building high-pressure ridge, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 18°C (25% implied probability), 17°C (20%), and 19°C (16%). This spread reflects model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and southerly flow strength, with drier members favoring 19°C via enhanced insolation, while cloudier runs cap at 17°C; urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge toward 18°C. Early April climatology supports these levels (historical average ~17°C), following March's variable patterns with recent mild stabilization. New runs from Italian ARPA models and ECMWF updates by March 31 will clarify soil moisture and boundary layer conditions ahead of resolution via Linate Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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