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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

28°C 95.1%

29°C or higher 3.1%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$165,221 Vol.

28°C 95.1%

29°C or higher 3.1%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$165,221 Vol.

19°C or below

$7,357 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$3,307 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$7,786 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$8,608 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$7,574 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$11,129 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$17,574 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$19,598 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$31,100 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$37,759 Vol.

95%

29°C or higher

$13,521 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations on March 30, 2026, show air temperatures peaking at 28°C across key stations including King's Park—the official reference for daily maximums—with readings of 28.2°C by mid-afternoon amid moderate humidity around 67-85% and light southerly winds. This aligns with the spring 2026 seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures following an exceptionally warm winter and recent highs near 30°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 28°C reflects this real-time data and forecast high of 28°C, backed by stable atmospheric conditions limiting further intensification. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunny intervals and reduced cloud cover into late afternoon to push toward 29°C, though model guidance suggests minimal upside risk as showers approach tomorrow. Final readings expected by evening.

Hong Kong Observatory observations on March 30, 2026, show air temperatures peaking at 28°C across key stations including King's Park—the official reference for daily maximums—with readings of 28.2°C by mid-afternoon amid moderate humidity around 67-85% and light southerly winds. This aligns with the spring 2026 seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures following an exceptionally warm winter and recent highs near 30°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 28°C reflects this real-time data and forecast high of 28°C, backed by stable atmospheric conditions limiting further intensification. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunny intervals and reduced cloud cover into late afternoon to push toward 29°C, though model guidance suggests minimal upside risk as showers approach tomorrow. Final readings expected by evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations on March 30, 2026, show air temperatures peaking at 28°C across key stations including King's Park—the official reference for daily maximums—with readings of 28.2°C by mid-afternoon amid moderate humidity around 67-85% and light southerly winds. This aligns with the spring 2026 seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures following an exceptionally warm winter and recent highs near 30°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 28°C reflects this real-time data and forecast high of 28°C, backed by stable atmospheric conditions limiting further intensification. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunny intervals and reduced cloud cover into late afternoon to push toward 29°C, though model guidance suggests minimal upside risk as showers approach tomorrow. Final readings expected by evening.

Hong Kong Observatory observations on March 30, 2026, show air temperatures peaking at 28°C across key stations including King's Park—the official reference for daily maximums—with readings of 28.2°C by mid-afternoon amid moderate humidity around 67-85% and light southerly winds. This aligns with the spring 2026 seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures following an exceptionally warm winter and recent highs near 30°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 28°C reflects this real-time data and forecast high of 28°C, backed by stable atmospheric conditions limiting further intensification. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunny intervals and reduced cloud cover into late afternoon to push toward 29°C, though model guidance suggests minimal upside risk as showers approach tomorrow. Final readings expected by evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 95%, followed by "29°C or higher" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" has generated $165.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" is "28°C" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C or higher" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.