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Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

76°F ou mais 55%

74-75°F 25%

72-73°F 10%

70-71°F 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,148 Vol.

76°F ou mais 55%

74-75°F 25%

72-73°F 10%

70-71°F 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,148 Vol.

57°F ou menos

$4,516 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$4,184 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$4,629 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$6,604 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$2,135 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

20-21°C

$3,286 Vol.

2%

70-71°F

$3,073 Vol.

3%

72-73°F

$2,183 Vol.

10%

74-75°F

$2,176 Vol.

25%

76°F ou mais

$2,600 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "76°F ou mais" at 56%, followed by "74-75°F" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?" has generated $37.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?" is "76°F ou mais" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "74-75°F" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 30 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.