Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models, which project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature near 27–28°C amid seasonal subtropical warming. Recent showers and thunderstorms over the past 48 hours, as reported in extended forecasts, have introduced convective activity that could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and precipitation, differentiating lower outcomes like 26°C or below from hotter scenarios. Historical early-April highs average 25–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with current upper-air patterns favoring slight intensification potential if high pressure builds. Daily model updates through April 5 will refine land-based temperature trajectories, highlighting inherent forecast divergence at this 4-day horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
28°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C or higher 19%
27°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
24%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
19%
28°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C or higher 19%
27°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
21°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$94 Vol.
1%
23°C
$102 Vol.
4%
24°C
$51 Vol.
6%
25°C
$46 Vol.
8%
26°C
$36 Vol.
13%
27°C
$97 Vol.
24%
28°C
$125 Vol.
28%
29°C
$55 Vol.
22%
30°C
$46 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$48 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models, which project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature near 27–28°C amid seasonal subtropical warming. Recent showers and thunderstorms over the past 48 hours, as reported in extended forecasts, have introduced convective activity that could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and precipitation, differentiating lower outcomes like 26°C or below from hotter scenarios. Historical early-April highs average 25–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with current upper-air patterns favoring slight intensification potential if high pressure builds. Daily model updates through April 5 will refine land-based temperature trajectories, highlighting inherent forecast divergence at this 4-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,012Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models, which project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature near 27–28°C amid seasonal subtropical warming. Recent showers and thunderstorms over the past 48 hours, as reported in extended forecasts, have introduced convective activity that could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and precipitation, differentiating lower outcomes like 26°C or below from hotter scenarios. Historical early-April highs average 25–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with current upper-air patterns favoring slight intensification potential if high pressure builds. Daily model updates through April 5 will refine land-based temperature trajectories, highlighting inherent forecast divergence at this 4-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,012Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models, which project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature near 27–28°C amid seasonal subtropical warming. Recent showers and thunderstorms over the past 48 hours, as reported in extended forecasts, have introduced convective activity that could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and precipitation, differentiating lower outcomes like 26°C or below from hotter scenarios. Historical early-April highs average 25–27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with current upper-air patterns favoring slight intensification potential if high pressure builds. Daily model updates through April 5 will refine land-based temperature trajectories, highlighting inherent forecast divergence at this 4-day horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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