Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
23°C 19%
26°C 18%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
23°C 19%
26°C 18%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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