Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in AEMET guidance and sites like yr.no, project Madrid's highest temperature at Barajas Airport on April 2 around 19°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, with clear skies and light winds enabling solar heating to near climatological norms of 18°C for early April. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 19-20°C due to this consensus, tempered by 23.5% implied probability for 15°C or below from outlier runs showing possible northerly cold advection or increased cloud cover introducing cooling. AEMET's seasonal outlook for upper-tercile warmth in April-June 2026 slightly favors warmer outcomes, though short-range uncertainty persists ahead of 12z model updates and final AEMET advisories resolving on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
19°C 33%
20°C 28%
15°C or below 25%
18°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
15°C or below
25%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
17%
23°C
14%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
8%
19°C 33%
20°C 28%
15°C or below 25%
18°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
25%
16°C
$1 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$5 Vol.
27%
20°C
$8 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$1 Vol.
17%
23°C
$5 Vol.
14%
24°C
$9 Vol.
10%
25°C or higher
$33 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in AEMET guidance and sites like yr.no, project Madrid's highest temperature at Barajas Airport on April 2 around 19°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, with clear skies and light winds enabling solar heating to near climatological norms of 18°C for early April. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 19-20°C due to this consensus, tempered by 23.5% implied probability for 15°C or below from outlier runs showing possible northerly cold advection or increased cloud cover introducing cooling. AEMET's seasonal outlook for upper-tercile warmth in April-June 2026 slightly favors warmer outcomes, though short-range uncertainty persists ahead of 12z model updates and final AEMET advisories resolving on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$67Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in AEMET guidance and sites like yr.no, project Madrid's highest temperature at Barajas Airport on April 2 around 19°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, with clear skies and light winds enabling solar heating to near climatological norms of 18°C for early April. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 19-20°C due to this consensus, tempered by 23.5% implied probability for 15°C or below from outlier runs showing possible northerly cold advection or increased cloud cover introducing cooling. AEMET's seasonal outlook for upper-tercile warmth in April-June 2026 slightly favors warmer outcomes, though short-range uncertainty persists ahead of 12z model updates and final AEMET advisories resolving on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in AEMET guidance and sites like yr.no, project Madrid's highest temperature at Barajas Airport on April 2 around 19°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, with clear skies and light winds enabling solar heating to near climatological norms of 18°C for early April. Trader sentiment clusters tightly at 19-20°C due to this consensus, tempered by 23.5% implied probability for 15°C or below from outlier runs showing possible northerly cold advection or increased cloud cover introducing cooling. AEMET's seasonal outlook for upper-tercile warmth in April-June 2026 slightly favors warmer outcomes, though short-range uncertainty persists ahead of 12z model updates and final AEMET advisories resolving on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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