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Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

21°C 30%

20°C 26%

19°C 15%

25°C or higher 14%

Polymarket
NEW

21°C 30%

20°C 26%

19°C 15%

25°C or higher 14%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C or below

$1,726 Vol.

5%

16°C

$187 Vol.

10%

17°C

$78 Vol.

5%

18°C

$14 Vol.

9%

19°C

$5 Vol.

15%

20°C

$0 Vol.

26%

21°C

$16 Vol.

30%

22°C

$5 Vol.

12%

23°C

$30 Vol.

13%

24°C

$37 Vol.

11%

25°C or higher

$326 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%) as the top outcomes, reflecting cloud cover and showers from an approaching frontal system that curbs daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 23–24°C. March 2026 has trended cooler than normal by nearly 3°C, with recent northern Taiwan highs around 21°C amid lingering La Niña influences transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions. Model uncertainty centers on frontal timing and low-level moisture, which could shave or add 1°C; watch CWA daily updates ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%) as the top outcomes, reflecting cloud cover and showers from an approaching frontal system that curbs daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 23–24°C. March 2026 has trended cooler than normal by nearly 3°C, with recent northern Taiwan highs around 21°C amid lingering La Niña influences transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions. Model uncertainty centers on frontal timing and low-level moisture, which could shave or add 1°C; watch CWA daily updates ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%) as the top outcomes, reflecting cloud cover and showers from an approaching frontal system that curbs daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 23–24°C. March 2026 has trended cooler than normal by nearly 3°C, with recent northern Taiwan highs around 21°C amid lingering La Niña influences transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions. Model uncertainty centers on frontal timing and low-level moisture, which could shave or add 1°C; watch CWA daily updates ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (30%) and 20°C (26.5%) as the top outcomes, reflecting cloud cover and showers from an approaching frontal system that curbs daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 23–24°C. March 2026 has trended cooler than normal by nearly 3°C, with recent northern Taiwan highs around 21°C amid lingering La Niña influences transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions. Model uncertainty centers on frontal timing and low-level moisture, which could shave or add 1°C; watch CWA daily updates ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C" at 30%, followed by "20°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?" is "21°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.