The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects a 26°C high for Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment with 26°C at 26.5% and 27°C at 23.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. This positioning stems from a frontal system ushering unstable conditions over the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend, where variable cloud cover and precipitation risks limit solar insolation and peak heating potential, potentially capping maxima at 25-26°C or allowing 27-28°C if showers prove lighter than expected. Recent northeasterly wind weakening on April 2 spurred brief warming ahead of rain starting April 3, while early April historical highs average 24-27°C with frequent frontal passages. Daily CWA updates will refine model ensembles as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
28°C 16%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
28°C 16%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects a 26°C high for Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment with 26°C at 26.5% and 27°C at 23.5% implied probabilities amid tight competition. This positioning stems from a frontal system ushering unstable conditions over the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend, where variable cloud cover and precipitation risks limit solar insolation and peak heating potential, potentially capping maxima at 25-26°C or allowing 27-28°C if showers prove lighter than expected. Recent northeasterly wind weakening on April 2 spurred brief warming ahead of rain starting April 3, while early April historical highs average 24-27°C with frequent frontal passages. Daily CWA updates will refine model ensembles as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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