Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Denver around 55-57°F on April 1, with 32% odds for 56-57°F edging out adjacent bins amid spring-like uncertainty, reflecting a sharp pattern shift from March 2026's record-shattering heat (highs into the 80s-90s) to cooler conditions per National Weather Service guidance. An approaching upper-level trough and moisture influx from the southwest, evident in latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, will introduce low clouds, gusty winds, and shower chances, capping highs 3-5°F below the 60°F climatological normal through reduced solar insolation and cold air advection. Differentiating factors include front timing—delayed arrival favors the warmer 56-57°F bin, while heavier clouds or precip tilt toward 52-55°F—against Denver's volatile Front Range patterns; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 1?
56-57°F 32%
58-59°F 31%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 21%
45°F ou menos
4%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
16%
64°F or higher
6%
56-57°F 32%
58-59°F 31%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 21%
45°F ou menos
4%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
16%
64°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Denver around 55-57°F on April 1, with 32% odds for 56-57°F edging out adjacent bins amid spring-like uncertainty, reflecting a sharp pattern shift from March 2026's record-shattering heat (highs into the 80s-90s) to cooler conditions per National Weather Service guidance. An approaching upper-level trough and moisture influx from the southwest, evident in latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, will introduce low clouds, gusty winds, and shower chances, capping highs 3-5°F below the 60°F climatological normal through reduced solar insolation and cold air advection. Differentiating factors include front timing—delayed arrival favors the warmer 56-57°F bin, while heavier clouds or precip tilt toward 52-55°F—against Denver's volatile Front Range patterns; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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