Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a spread of outcomes around 70-75°F for Denver's April 2 high temperature at roughly 63% implied probability, reflecting model uncertainty in the transition from March's record-breaking warmth—where highs neared 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge—to a cooler, active spring pattern with an incoming trough and potential storms per latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service notes a breakdown in the ridge, favoring increased cloudiness, gusty winds, and shower risks that could cap highs below 70°F, though dry slots or delayed frontal timing might allow 70s amid above-normal seasonal baselines (normal ~60°F). Key differentiators include storm track precision, precipitation coverage, and 850 hPa temperature anomalies; watch daily NOAA updates through April 1 for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
67°F or below
16%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
12%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
16%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$1 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$19 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$9 Vol.
17%
80-81°F
$13 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$230 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$263 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$110 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a spread of outcomes around 70-75°F for Denver's April 2 high temperature at roughly 63% implied probability, reflecting model uncertainty in the transition from March's record-breaking warmth—where highs neared 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge—to a cooler, active spring pattern with an incoming trough and potential storms per latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service notes a breakdown in the ridge, favoring increased cloudiness, gusty winds, and shower risks that could cap highs below 70°F, though dry slots or delayed frontal timing might allow 70s amid above-normal seasonal baselines (normal ~60°F). Key differentiators include storm track precision, precipitation coverage, and 850 hPa temperature anomalies; watch daily NOAA updates through April 1 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$656Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a spread of outcomes around 70-75°F for Denver's April 2 high temperature at roughly 63% implied probability, reflecting model uncertainty in the transition from March's record-breaking warmth—where highs neared 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge—to a cooler, active spring pattern with an incoming trough and potential storms per latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service notes a breakdown in the ridge, favoring increased cloudiness, gusty winds, and shower risks that could cap highs below 70°F, though dry slots or delayed frontal timing might allow 70s amid above-normal seasonal baselines (normal ~60°F). Key differentiators include storm track precision, precipitation coverage, and 850 hPa temperature anomalies; watch daily NOAA updates through April 1 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$656Data de Término
Apr 2, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a spread of outcomes around 70-75°F for Denver's April 2 high temperature at roughly 63% implied probability, reflecting model uncertainty in the transition from March's record-breaking warmth—where highs neared 90°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge—to a cooler, active spring pattern with an incoming trough and potential storms per latest GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The National Weather Service notes a breakdown in the ridge, favoring increased cloudiness, gusty winds, and shower risks that could cap highs below 70°F, though dry slots or delayed frontal timing might allow 70s amid above-normal seasonal baselines (normal ~60°F). Key differentiators include storm track precision, precipitation coverage, and 850 hPa temperature anomalies; watch daily NOAA updates through April 1 for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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