Trader consensus favors a high of 80-81°F at 33% implied probability for Denver on March 30, closely trailed by 78-79°F and 76-77°F, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a daytime peak near 81°F under a persistent upper-level ridge that has driven multiple March record highs—up to 87°F earlier this week—far above the 59°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast model ensembles from NOAA, where stronger downslope winds and maximal insolation could push toward 82°F, while increasing mid- or high-level clouds or ridge axis shifts might cap it at 76-77°F; inherent uncertainty in peak heating timing amid clear skies heightens the tight race. Hourly observations from Denver International Airport through afternoon will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 10.0%
73°F or below
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 10.0%
73°F or below
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 80-81°F at 33% implied probability for Denver on March 30, closely trailed by 78-79°F and 76-77°F, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a daytime peak near 81°F under a persistent upper-level ridge that has driven multiple March record highs—up to 87°F earlier this week—far above the 59°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast model ensembles from NOAA, where stronger downslope winds and maximal insolation could push toward 82°F, while increasing mid- or high-level clouds or ridge axis shifts might cap it at 76-77°F; inherent uncertainty in peak heating timing amid clear skies heightens the tight race. Hourly observations from Denver International Airport through afternoon will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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