Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
24°C 22%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
14%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
20%
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
24°C 22%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
14%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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