Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–22°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the latest forecast model ensembles from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international runs (GFS, ECMWF), which project peaks near 21°C amid an atypical warm autumn pattern. Recent developments include above-normal early April heat—such as today's 26°C high—and SMN's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures in the Pampas region, but a approaching cold front from the south introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, light showers (30–60% chance), and southerly winds capping daytime heating. Differentiating factors among top outcomes hinge on frontal timing and precipitation extent: drier scenarios favor 22°C via greater insolation, while heavier clouds tilt toward 19–20°C. New SMN updates and model refreshes expected daily could shift implied probabilities before resolution at Ezeiza Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 5 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 5 de abril?
22°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C
22%
23°C
13%
24°C ou mais
8%
22°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
$453 Vol.
1%
15°C
$891 Vol.
2%
16°C
$199 Vol.
3%
17°C
$306 Vol.
3%
18°C
$248 Vol.
6%
19°C
$256 Vol.
17%
20°C
$351 Vol.
19%
21°C
$260 Vol.
22%
22°C
$297 Vol.
22%
23°C
$230 Vol.
13%
24°C ou mais
$315 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–22°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the latest forecast model ensembles from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international runs (GFS, ECMWF), which project peaks near 21°C amid an atypical warm autumn pattern. Recent developments include above-normal early April heat—such as today's 26°C high—and SMN's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures in the Pampas region, but a approaching cold front from the south introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, light showers (30–60% chance), and southerly winds capping daytime heating. Differentiating factors among top outcomes hinge on frontal timing and precipitation extent: drier scenarios favor 22°C via greater insolation, while heavier clouds tilt toward 19–20°C. New SMN updates and model refreshes expected daily could shift implied probabilities before resolution at Ezeiza Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,806Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–22°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the latest forecast model ensembles from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international runs (GFS, ECMWF), which project peaks near 21°C amid an atypical warm autumn pattern. Recent developments include above-normal early April heat—such as today's 26°C high—and SMN's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures in the Pampas region, but a approaching cold front from the south introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, light showers (30–60% chance), and southerly winds capping daytime heating. Differentiating factors among top outcomes hinge on frontal timing and precipitation extent: drier scenarios favor 22°C via greater insolation, while heavier clouds tilt toward 19–20°C. New SMN updates and model refreshes expected daily could shift implied probabilities before resolution at Ezeiza Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,806Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–22°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the latest forecast model ensembles from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international runs (GFS, ECMWF), which project peaks near 21°C amid an atypical warm autumn pattern. Recent developments include above-normal early April heat—such as today's 26°C high—and SMN's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures in the Pampas region, but a approaching cold front from the south introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, light showers (30–60% chance), and southerly winds capping daytime heating. Differentiating factors among top outcomes hinge on frontal timing and precipitation extent: drier scenarios favor 22°C via greater insolation, while heavier clouds tilt toward 19–20°C. New SMN updates and model refreshes expected daily could shift implied probabilities before resolution at Ezeiza Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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