Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 28–29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, with 40% odds on 29°C or higher reflecting optimism for above-normal warmth amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge steering warm air advection into the region. Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, as aggregated on platforms like meteoblue, project highs around 24–27°C but with significant upside potential in warmer ensemble members, boosted by recent late-March observations exceeding seasonal averages of 22°C for early April per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) climatology. SMN's February–April 2026 quarterly outlook signals equal or above-normal temperatures, while reports of returning summer-like heat with maxima nearing 30°C underscore the setup. Daily model updates through April 2 will refine probabilities, given inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 3 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 3 de abril?
29°C ou mais 39%
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
19°C ou menos
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
27%
29°C ou mais
39%
29°C ou mais 39%
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
19°C ou menos
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
27%
29°C ou mais
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 28–29°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, with 40% odds on 29°C or higher reflecting optimism for above-normal warmth amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge steering warm air advection into the region. Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, as aggregated on platforms like meteoblue, project highs around 24–27°C but with significant upside potential in warmer ensemble members, boosted by recent late-March observations exceeding seasonal averages of 22°C for early April per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) climatology. SMN's February–April 2026 quarterly outlook signals equal or above-normal temperatures, while reports of returning summer-like heat with maxima nearing 30°C underscore the setup. Daily model updates through April 2 will refine probabilities, given inherent 5-day forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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