Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, with means near 22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21.5%) as slim leaders amid significant spread that captures daily variability. This reflects early autumn transition in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical early-April highs average 23°C at Ezeiza Airport, but positive temperature anomalies lingering from March—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional seasonal outlooks—add upside potential countered by possible southerly winds and cloud cover from approaching fronts. Key differentiators include model disagreements on ridge strength and frontal timing; new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 27%
22°C 22%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
13%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
11%
21°C 27%
22°C 22%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
17°C or below
$225 Vol.
2%
18°C
$191 Vol.
3%
19°C
$307 Vol.
3%
20°C
$159 Vol.
10%
21°C
$261 Vol.
27%
22°C
$295 Vol.
22%
23°C
$187 Vol.
13%
24°C
$287 Vol.
14%
25°C
$178 Vol.
10%
26°C
$165 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$534 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, with means near 22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21.5%) as slim leaders amid significant spread that captures daily variability. This reflects early autumn transition in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical early-April highs average 23°C at Ezeiza Airport, but positive temperature anomalies lingering from March—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional seasonal outlooks—add upside potential countered by possible southerly winds and cloud cover from approaching fronts. Key differentiators include model disagreements on ridge strength and frontal timing; new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$2,789Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, with means near 22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21.5%) as slim leaders amid significant spread that captures daily variability. This reflects early autumn transition in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical early-April highs average 23°C at Ezeiza Airport, but positive temperature anomalies lingering from March—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional seasonal outlooks—add upside potential countered by possible southerly winds and cloud cover from approaching fronts. Key differentiators include model disagreements on ridge strength and frontal timing; new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,789Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, with means near 22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21.5%) as slim leaders amid significant spread that captures daily variability. This reflects early autumn transition in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical early-April highs average 23°C at Ezeiza Airport, but positive temperature anomalies lingering from March—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional seasonal outlooks—add upside potential countered by possible southerly winds and cloud cover from approaching fronts. Key differentiators include model disagreements on ridge strength and frontal timing; new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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