Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with GFS and ECMWF outputs clustering around 28–30°C amid a mild late-autumn warming trend following yesterday's 27°C peak at Aeroparque station. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance highlights high humidity near 90% and partly cloudy skies limiting convective inhibition, but potential afternoon thunderstorms or strengthening sea breeze from the Atlantic could cap peaks at 28°C, while prolonged morning clearing favors 30°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak insolation timing before coastal cooling dominates, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations resolving by midnight UTC. New SMN updates expected midday could shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 30 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 30 de março?
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
$10,547 Vol.
$10,547 Vol.
26°C ou menos
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
$10,547 Vol.
$10,547 Vol.
26°C ou menos
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with GFS and ECMWF outputs clustering around 28–30°C amid a mild late-autumn warming trend following yesterday's 27°C peak at Aeroparque station. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance highlights high humidity near 90% and partly cloudy skies limiting convective inhibition, but potential afternoon thunderstorms or strengthening sea breeze from the Atlantic could cap peaks at 28°C, while prolonged morning clearing favors 30°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak insolation timing before coastal cooling dominates, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations resolving by midnight UTC. New SMN updates expected midday could shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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