Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$922,009,923 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$922,009,923 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$15,554,264 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,011,785 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$5,693,290 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,503,505 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$5,738,852 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,258,956 Vol.

4%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$11,449,709 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$9,415,800 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$5,923,757 Vol.

2%

Market icon

James Talarico

$3,317,549 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$10,729,094 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,467,643 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,348,563 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,087,799 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$6,946,534 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$42,383,739 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$20,305,366 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$21,263,062 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$10,945,605 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,515,165 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$10,819,725 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$13,398,363 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,346,687 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$26,981,103 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$31,860,844 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$16,567,141 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,179,240 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$32,823,898 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$34,955,524 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$24,355,412 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$36,854,703 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,157,582 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$32,530,103 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,034,929 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,223,287 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,029,085 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$24,943,380 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$30,778,030 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$41,733,794 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,144,954 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,179,195 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$22,158,828 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$23,875,792 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$38,226,769 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Democratic 2028 presidential nomination odds at 24.1% trader consensus, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and recent media critiques of party messaging post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat, positioning him as a pragmatic unifier. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, driven by progressive grassroots enthusiasm and youth appeal among under-30 Democrats, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% highlights his swing-state Georgia reelection resilience. Harris trails at 4.5% amid fallout from her Electoral College loss. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open primary field, consolidation may pivot on 2026 midterm performances, early polling averages, fundraising tallies, and endorsements amid intraparty debates over ideology and electability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$922,009,923
Data de Término
Nov 7, 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Democratic 2028 presidential nomination odds at 24.1% trader consensus, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and recent media critiques of party messaging post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat, positioning him as a pragmatic unifier. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, driven by progressive grassroots enthusiasm and youth appeal among under-30 Democrats, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% highlights his swing-state Georgia reelection resilience. Harris trails at 4.5% amid fallout from her Electoral College loss. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open primary field, consolidation may pivot on 2026 midterm performances, early polling averages, fundraising tallies, and endorsements amid intraparty debates over ideology and electability.

Gavin Newsom leads Democratic 2028 presidential nomination odds at 24.1% trader consensus, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and recent media critiques of party messaging post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat, positioning him as a pragmatic unifier. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, driven by progressive grassroots enthusiasm and youth appeal among under-30 Democrats, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% highlights his swing-state Georgia reelection resilience. Harris trails at 4.5% amid fallout from her Electoral College loss. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open primary field, consolidation may pivot on 2026 midterm performances, early polling averages, fundraising tallies, and endorsements amid intraparty debates over ideology and electability.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $922 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.