Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$925,656,377 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$925,656,377 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$15,999,552 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,025,750 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$5,712,637 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,553,933 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,322,142 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$5,758,643 Vol.

4%

Market icon

James Talarico

$3,356,883 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$11,518,876 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$9,599,105 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$5,941,093 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$10,752,948 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,479,055 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,392,658 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,101,037 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$6,978,836 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$42,653,522 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$21,288,963 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$20,370,860 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$10,954,381 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,549,903 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$13,479,889 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,440,532 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,248,016 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,058,524 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$31,915,809 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$16,618,754 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,235,743 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$32,850,416 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$34,984,034 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$24,501,987 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$36,890,804 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$32,581,754 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,078,757 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,253,749 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,189,142 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$25,008,166 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,324,518 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$30,840,283 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$41,784,262 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,282,811 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,226,427 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$22,198,977 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$24,038,006 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$38,321,725 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his book tour in early primary states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and hypothetical matchup polls against Republicans, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia incumbency advantages. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 soul-searching, differentiating executives like Newsom and Josh Shapiro via governing records from senators and rising stars. Consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, superior fundraising, DNC endorsements, or explicit campaign launches by summer.

Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his book tour in early primary states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and hypothetical matchup polls against Republicans, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia incumbency advantages. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 soul-searching, differentiating executives like Newsom and Josh Shapiro via governing records from senators and rising stars. Consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, superior fundraising, DNC endorsements, or explicit campaign launches by summer.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his book tour in early primary states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and hypothetical matchup polls against Republicans, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia incumbency advantages. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 soul-searching, differentiating executives like Newsom and Josh Shapiro via governing records from senators and rising stars. Consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, superior fundraising, DNC endorsements, or explicit campaign launches by summer.

Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his book tour in early primary states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and hypothetical matchup polls against Republicans, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia incumbency advantages. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 soul-searching, differentiating executives like Newsom and Josh Shapiro via governing records from senators and rising stars. Consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, superior fundraising, DNC endorsements, or explicit campaign launches by summer.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $925.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.