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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$928,828,477 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$928,828,477 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,306,624 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,045,075 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,740,186 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,582,403 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,343,760 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,792,677 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,395,929 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,542,724 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,666,671 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,998,212 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,809,214 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,502,715 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,116,809 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,410,818 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,080,036 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,861,184 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,310,973 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,996,985 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,701,782 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,512,444 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,604,384 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,606,064 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,329,252 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,699,579 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,338,366 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,144,834 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,956,598 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,874,781 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,042,292 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,522,181 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,282,489 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,934,481 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,662,446 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,116,369 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,229,130 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,034,222 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,358,764 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,826,460 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,305,310 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,260,817 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,224,432 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,109,600 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,448,906 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,209,003 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in this wide-open field following the 2024 election, buoyed by his executive experience, national profile from prior Trump-era challenges, and a recent California poll affirming his top spot among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his swing-state Georgia incumbency and youth. Kamala Harris lags at 4% despite some national polls like JL Partners showing her narrowly ahead, as traders reassess her viability post-loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm gains, fundraising edges, party endorsements, and polling trends in battleground primaries.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in this wide-open field following the 2024 election, buoyed by his executive experience, national profile from prior Trump-era challenges, and a recent California poll affirming his top spot among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his swing-state Georgia incumbency and youth. Kamala Harris lags at 4% despite some national polls like JL Partners showing her narrowly ahead, as traders reassess her viability post-loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm gains, fundraising edges, party endorsements, and polling trends in battleground primaries.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in this wide-open field following the 2024 election, buoyed by his executive experience, national profile from prior Trump-era challenges, and a recent California poll affirming his top spot among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his swing-state Georgia incumbency and youth. Kamala Harris lags at 4% despite some national polls like JL Partners showing her narrowly ahead, as traders reassess her viability post-loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm gains, fundraising edges, party endorsements, and polling trends in battleground primaries.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in this wide-open field following the 2024 election, buoyed by his executive experience, national profile from prior Trump-era challenges, and a recent California poll affirming his top spot among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his swing-state Georgia incumbency and youth. Kamala Harris lags at 4% despite some national polls like JL Partners showing her narrowly ahead, as traders reassess her viability post-loss. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm gains, fundraising edges, party endorsements, and polling trends in battleground primaries.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $928.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.